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Published Works

  1. "Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises Revisited," joint with Mark Aguiar, Satyajit Chatterjee, and Harold Cole. Journal of Political Economy. May 2022 (available here)
    1. Working Paper Version
  2. "Long-Term Sovereign Debt: A Steady State Analysis," Review of Economic Dynamics. March 2022. (available here​)
  3. "Beliefs and Long-Maturity Sovereign Debt," Journal of International Economics. November 2020. (available here)
  4. "Quantitative Models of Sovereign Debt Crises," joint with Mark Aguiar, Satyajit Chatterjee, and Harold Cole. Handbook of Macroeconomics, Volume II​. December 2016. (available here)
  5. “For What We Do and Fail to Do,” joint with Christopher Dodsworth and Tihamer Toth-Fejel. The American Journal of Bioethics. September 2008. 

Working Papers


  1. "Costly Information and Sovereign Risk" joint with Grace Weishi Gu (second round revision requested, International Economic Review)
  2. "Rational Inattention via Ignorance Equivalence," with Roc Armenter and Michèle Müller-Itten (revision requested, Econometrica)
  3. "Geometric Methods for Finite Rational Inattention," with Roc Armenter and Michèle Müller-Itten (revision requested, Quantitative Economics)

Works in Progress


  1. "Sound and Fury: Signaling in Sovereign Debt Markets" with Mark Wright
  2. "Leveling the Playing Field: Emerging Markets and Small Lenders" with Jing Zhang and Astghik Mkhitaryan
  3. "Sovereign Debt Markets: The Role of Foreign Investors" with Jing Zhang and Astghik Mkhitaryan
  4. "A Quantitative Theory of the Domestic Debt Share," with César Sosa-Padilla
  5. "Learning from Others in Financial Markets" with Adriana Cobas and Grace Gu

Other


Machine learning for sovereign debt models: Sample Julia Code 
          See "Teaching" for lecture slides on the method 
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